How It Works
Discover how prediction markets harness the wisdom of crowds to forecast future events with remarkable accuracy.
Browse Markets
Explore a variety of prediction markets across different categories like finance, politics, and sports.
Place Predictions
Buy YES or NO shares based on your prediction of the outcome and your confidence level. The price reflects probability.
Earn Rewards
When the market resolves, collect your rewards for correct predictions. Winnings are verified by Chainlink oracles.
The Philosophy
Prediction markets operate on the principle that the combined knowledge of many people is more accurate than a few experts. They create a financial incentive for honesty, as participants profit by being correct and lose by being wrong.
- →Markets aggregate dispersed information from diverse participants
- →Prices represent real-time probability estimates
- →Unlike polls, participants have "skin in the game"
- →Blockchain ensures transparency and tamper-proof resolution
The Benefits
Prediction markets don't just forecast events—they provide numerous benefits to participants and society. The resulting collective insights can be more valuable than traditional forecasting methods.
Financial Opportunity
Profit from your knowledge and research about future events
Superior Accuracy
Consistently outperform polls, experts, and other forecasting methods
Information Discovery
Reveal hidden information and update in real-time as new facts emerge
Decentralized Oracle
Provides reliable probability estimates for other contracts and systems
Ever wonder how prediction markets let you buy or sell YES/NO shares anytime? Unlike traditional order books that need a buyer for every seller, we use an **Automated Market Maker (AMM)**. Think of it as a friendly robot trader, always ready to take the other side of your trade, using math to set the price based on supply and demand. We specifically use a popular model called the **Constant Product Market Maker (CPMM)**. Ready for a peek under the hood?
Important Risks to Consider
While prediction markets offer exciting opportunities, it's crucial to understand and carefully consider these risks before participating. None of this information constitutes financial advice - always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Financial Risks
- •Potential for complete loss of invested capital
- •Binary outcomes - positions are all-or-nothing
- •Market volatility can lead to unexpected losses
Market Risks
- •Price manipulation by large traders
- •Limited liquidity affecting entry/exit prices
- •Potential for misinformation campaigns
Technical Risks
- •Smart contract vulnerabilities
- •Oracle failures or delays in resolution
- •Network congestion affecting trades
Regulatory & Legal Risks
- •Evolving regulatory landscape
- •Jurisdictional restrictions
- •Tax implications and reporting requirements
Real-World Applications
Financial Forecasting
Predict economic indicators and market movements with remarkable accuracy
Risk Assessment
Evaluate project risks and insurance outcomes through collective wisdom
Event Outcomes
From elections to sporting events, better predict results than traditional polls
Corporate Decisions
Help companies make better product and strategic decisions